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Suaheli (Subject) / IF- Scenarios (Lesson)

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  • How to cut labor costs 1. Cross-train workers. 2. Cut overtime. 3. Hire more efficiently 4. Raise employee contribution to health-care premium. 5. Institute four 10-hour days instead of five eight-hour days. 6. Convert workers into owners (if they have a stake in the company they will work longer, and harderand constantly think of ways to cut costs in a way that they might not have done before). 7. Contemplate layoffs. 8. Institute across-the-board pay decreases. 9. Perforance-Pay Systems 10. Incentives-Programs and Competitions VAP ↑
  • How to cut manufacturing costs technology investments flexible production lines consolidate production space to gain economies of scale + accountability import parts outsourcing JIT: reduce inventories
  • How to decrease costs of Finance Have customers pay sooner. Pay supplier eralier Hedge currency rates Refinance your debt. Sell nonessential assets.
  • If sales are flat and market share is flat ...that scenario could indicate that industry sales are flat and that your competitors are experiencing similar problems.
  • What to analyze in a decline-in-sales problem - overall declining market demand (e.g., soda sales have dropped as bottled water becomes the drink of choice) - the possibility that the current marketplace is mature or your product obsolete - loss of market share due to substitutions (e.g., video rentals & Netflix) - Price Changes - Competitor, Substitutes ? - Competitor - Substitute Promotion ?
  • If sales and market share by volume are increasing but profits decline, then you need to investigate whether prices are dropping and/or costs are climbing. However, if costs aren’t the issue, then investigate product mix and check to see if the margins have changed.
  • If sales are flat and profits are taking a header, ...,you need to examine both revenues and costs. Always start with the revenue side first. Until you identify and understand the revenue streams, youcan’t make educated decisions on the cost side.
  • Profit Scenario: If profits are declining because of rising expenses ... concentrate on operational and financial issues — i.e., COGS (cost of goods sold), labor, rent and marketing costs.
  • If profits are declining, yet revenues have gone up, ...., review: changes in costs any additional expenses changes in prices the product mix changes in customers’ needs
  • If a product is in its emerging growth stage, ...concentrate on R&D, competition and pricing.
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  • If a product is in its growth stage, ......emphasize marketing and competition.
  • If a product is in its mature stage, ......focus on manufacturing, costs and competition. agressive promotions agressive pricing strategies product modification
  • If a product is in its declining stage... define niche market analyze the competition’s play think exit strategy think relaunch strategy
  • Profit Scenario: If profits are declining because of a drop in revenues, concentrate on marketing and distribution issues.
  • If you lower prices and volume rises, and then you are pushed beyond full capacity, ...your costs will shoot up as your employees work overtime, and consequently profits will suffer
  • Prices are stable only when ..three conditions are met: The growth rate for all competitors is approximately the same. The prices are paralleling costs. The prices of all competitors are roughly of equal value.
  • Unless all parties change their prices together (e.g., airline tickets or gas prices). the volume and the costs are easier to change than the industry price levels,
  • The perfect strategy for the high-cost producer one that convinces competitors that market shares cannot be shifted Therefore, the highest practical industry prices are to everyone’s advantage price wars are detrimental and everyone will profit more bybkeeping prices high.
  • Back of the mind thoughts How the Internet affects the company should be in the back of your mind in every case. How the economy affects the company should be in the back of your mind in every case. How the competition — both internal to the industry and external (substitutions) — affects the company should be in the back of your mind in every case.
  • How to reduce Inbound logistic costs? Change suppliers Renegotiate with suppliers Consolidate suppliers Import parts Reduce inventories JIT
  • How to reduce Overhead costs? Reisekosten Verhandlungen zum Zinsnachlass Reduce IT-Costs  Cloud Computing Services Reduce Phone Bill - Skype Services Reduce Staff Overheads - Booking, Payroll (Tarife) Rent rather than hire Equipment
  • How to increase liquidity Reduktion der Investmenttätigkeit Reduktion Lagerbestnd Reduktion Forderungsbestand Verkauf von Vermögenswerten
  • How to increase Sales - Fokussierung auf A-Kunden - Clever Pricing - Marketing: - Sales Incentives Program - Free samples - Customer-Reward-Program - Tie your customers - Use Content and Social Media Marketing (free) => Acces to qualified leads. More channels to sell your produc Lower costs to acquire customers. Higher conversion rates
  • How can we increase Sales by Volume? PLACE Increase distribution Channels PROMOTION Invest in marketing campaign PRICE adjust prices l discounts PORTFOLIO Analysis Diversification !Canibalization! Acquire a competitor Create seasonal balance High Barriers to Entry - Niches
  • If you cannot Change your Environment... ..use the Classic Approach. The world is forecastable Basics of competition is stable The Advantage, once obtained, is sustainable. Given that the you cannot change the enivornment, classical firms seek the optimal position within it. Positioning = Superior size, differentiation, core capabilities Michael Porter, Barney, Market Share, BCG
  • If you cannot predict the development of the industry within reasonable bunds... .....you need an adaptive approach experiment and identify new sources of advantage more quickly and cheaply than others Create valid range of strategic options for trial and experimentation Select the most successful ones to scale up Once environment changes, they iterate on this experimentation loop to ensure that they continuoujsly refresh their strategy
  • If you cannot predict the exact path of development but can influence the market by collaborating with others ...use the Shaping approach try to co-evolve quickly and leverage outside stakeholders to share risks and thrive together despie protracted uncertainty Engage Outside partners Develop their influence to orchestrate the co-ecolution under uncertainty Iterate as changing environmental circumstances require changes in the underlying product or business model. => Influence Stakeholders to create Business opportunities ( Manhattan )
  • If you face an Environment so harsh that you need a two pronged Approach to strategy ..use the Renewal Approach focus on short-term survival  long-term: renew the strategy to return to one of the four other approaches for future flourishing focus and economize -> reinvention mode "resurrecting" = economize to stay alive long enough to find another approach, suitable to then less harsh environments
  • If you want to Change behavior of your People.. - Intrinsic motivation, the sense of pride and purpose in doing meaningful work and doing it well - Authentic feedback from other people, including peers, supervisors, senior leaders and customers - Formal rewards and recognition, such as monetary incentives and assignments to important projects
  • If you are a private-equity firm, Compare the price and demands for the Private-Equity Portfolio and their Core Products -> if favorable, rise in stock price
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  • If you want to restructure,... Design and groundwork Develop a central organization template and case for change Create and iterate business unit organization design, based on central guidance Map existing roles to new organization, adhering to all HR and legal standards Change management Plan towards implementation of new organization Key areas of work: Project management of change management program Process definitions for major processes affected by reorganization Risk management and assurance Critical systems updates needed ahead of implementation Communications to the business unit concerning the reorganization Ensure consistent application across business units and lay out change key performance indexes Long-term planning Develop action plan to embed new organization
  • if the market is in ist indroduction Phase, we see increasing growth rates, technological innovation, fight for new customers, changing market shares
  • if the market is in ist growth Phase, we see strong market growth mostly minor technological changes customers are well defined
  • If the market is in ist Maturity Phase High stability of customers and their behavior Stable market shares decreasing growth rates increasing rivalry among competitors
  • If the market is in ist Aging phase decreasing demand decreasing number of competitors
  • If we are a Commodity-manufacturer Marketing: Corporate Management Style: Cost Management Competiton: International, bigger, fewer Sales: Availability-based Distribution: 80-20 (ABC Analysis) Price: Low Costs: Very low Profit: Low
  • If we are a manufacture a unique Product Marketing: ExplainManagement Style: VisionaryCompetiton: NoneSales: PioneeringDistribution: Direct SellingPrice: Very HighCosts: Very HighProfit: High - Medium
  • If we market a differentiated product... Marketing: CompetitiveManagement Style: StrategicCompetiton: FewSales: Relative Benefit)Price: HighCosts: MediumProfit: High
  • Hohe Kosten im Verpackungsprozess.. ... Gründe: Lange Rüstungszeiten Leerlauf Variantenvielfalt, Komplexität Daten: ABC-Analysie: Produkte auf Profitabilität untersuchen und schauen, bei welchem Produkt die Kosten angemessen sind Controlling-System auf Verpackung fokussieren KPI entwickeln: Durchlaufzeiten des Produktes vs. Durchlaufzeit in der Produktion, Anzahl Arbeitsschritte in Produtkion vs. Verpackung Lösung: Minimierung der Durchlaufzeiten Minimierung der Abreitsschritte Standardisierung Nur profitable Produkte  Arbeitsschritte optimieren Kostenkontrolle Controlling ABER: Akzeptanz der Händler, etc. 
  • Gewinnschwelle berechnen CB1 * X1 + CB2 * X2 = FC
  • relatively high inventories ... products that have high variance in demand / seasonal demand ... high prpbability of default of suppliers